Superflex rookie draft6/28/2023 ![]() He needs to be an outlier ala Hollywood Brown or DeSean Jackson at his weight. His 15 TDs in the SEC and 3.27 yards per route run are elite numbers but when you start to bring in comps of WRs 6’0″ or smaller weighing in sub 180 pounds, it gets tough. On film, he consistently got behind defenses with speed for days albeit stacked in formation. Jalin Hyatt is one of the more extreme players in this draft.My money is on the NFL taking a tank over a tiny spear. Home-run ability and finding RBs with high rates of breakaway runs is one of the more sticky stats from college to pros. He checks a lot of boxes (6’0″, 210) for NFL teams while dynasty managers might be gazing in other directions ( Tyjae Spears) for big play threats. He was Jason’s RB4 in this class with an NFL-ready frame and solid production in the SEC. Tank Bigsby is probably the RB here who could move up draft boards in a week.This cost in a rookie draft is too high for a player who might max out at ten touches a game. At 5’8″, 188 pounds, I’ll be betting against Achane being a fantasy asset for multiple years. But the low end is not kind revealing players like former Oregon great LaMichael James, a production monster in college who didn’t have the size to hold up in the NFL. I shared his comps on the Dynasty Podcast ranging from career outlier Darren Sproles at the high end to someone like PPR one-hit wonder Tarik Cohen or former Bucs RB Chris Rainey as small speed freaks. Devon Achane feels a bit rich at the 2.02.Follow the draft capital and the WR position. There is going to be a WR potentially fall beyond those TEs in the second round of a SuperFlex with a seemingly bad immediate opportunity. Michael Mayer and Dalton Kincaid look like a tier above the rest but Jason’s advice was to let others make that mistake this early and instead swing for the fences late (4th round or free agent?) at the position. Often we find TEs with draft capital don’t necessarily match that within the first couple of years. ![]() Over the last decade, 143 different TEs were taken in rookie drafts with only five real hits in rookie drafts. The advice may sound a bit dogmatic but he had the data to back it up. Jason shared his advice on the recent Dynasty Podcast: don’t draft rookie TEs! Period.Jaylen Waddle was recently pushed down the board in 2021 for players (both RBs & WRs) with seemingly better opportunities. The draft capital associated with these players is going to determine much of the order but my research on rookie drafts has revealed that managers tend to value immediate opportunity over talent/draft capital. The end of the first round is going to be a logjam of WRs.I could see him fall into the late 1st/early 2nd of SuperFlex drafts as other players ( Kendre Miller? Devon Achane?) potentially could be selected ahead of him in the NFL Draft. Some of those landing spots are better than others in terms of immediate contribution but this is a classic example of a player we liked pre-draft process but might need to adjust after the NFL Draft. He did have team visits with CHI, BUF, TB, LAC, DAL, LV, and a private workout with SF. Charbonnet is not a sure thing to be selected in the 2nd round. Jahmyr Gibbs and Zach Charbonnet are seen as a tier break from the rest of the RBs… but does the NFL feel that way? Gibbs has the highest odds (-2000) to be the 2nd RB selected and we took a recent long shot wager on his landing spot if you’re interested.We discussed Richardson at length on Wednesday’s Fantasy Footballers Dynasty podcast. I wrote his Rookie Profile giving Vince Young as a median comp: physical tools, insane rushing as a rookie, won Rookie of the Year, and quickly flamed out as a starter before seeing his 2nd contract. The accuracy concerns are certainly a major red flag along with only starting 13 games. If he runs like we think he could as a goal-line specialist, you’re looking at fantasy gold. Anthony Richardson going ahead of the other QBs shouldn’t be a hot take.Jaxon Smith-Njigba is our clear WR1 in this class and while QBs are usually pushed up the board in SuperFlex, he is certainly deserving of being a top 3/4 pick for teams that are already set at the QB position. The news cycle recently has soured on this notion. Much of this is dependent on the assumption that these four QBs are selected in the top-5 of the NFL Draft. Four QBs in the first five picks is aggressive, to say the least.
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